..FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT…

The Flood Watch is now in effect for

* All of southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, southwest Indiana
and western Kentucky.

* Through late Saturday night.

* Multiple rounds of rain, moderate to heavy at times will
increase the risk for areal flooding through the end of the
week, primarily from Thursday night through Saturday night.
Isolated low land and poor drainage areal flooding cannot be
ruled out before then.

* The main flooding concern will be along small streams and creeks
that feed into already swollen rivers across the region.
especially in areas that receive multiple rounds of moderate to
heavy rainfall. Elsewhere, elevated water levels in low lying
and poor drainage areas may lead to standing water across some
roads that typically flood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE…Today and Tonight

Rain will continue off and on today through tonight. The highest
rainfall totals today through tonight will be across west
Kentucky. Will monitor this area for isolated standing water
issues.

Temperatures will drop to near 32 degrees today from around Marble
Hill Missouri to Pinckneyville Illinois. This may result in some
light freezing rain mainly on elevated surfaces. Confidence is low
with respect to potential impacts on road surfaces. We will
monitor conditions through the day.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Thursday through Tuesday

Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms will bring periods of
heavy rain to the entire region Thursday night through Saturday
night. The flooding concern will increase with each round of heavy
rainfall, culminating with the cold frontal passage Saturday night.
Please refer to the Flood Watch for more details.

The potential for strong thunderstorms late Saturday afternoon into
Saturday night will also need to be monitored closely. The greatest
limiting factor may be the availability of surface based instability
with the amount of cloud cover and rain forecast.

Continue to monitor the latest river flood warnings for impact
messaging and forecast stage information.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…

We request spotters report rainfall totals along with any
observed area flooding over the next several days.

Seven Day Forecast

Today Rain. High near 38. North wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Tonight Rain, mainly before 5am. Temperature rising to around 39 by 4am. Northeast wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Thursday A 20 percent chance of rain before noon. Cloudy, with a high near 50. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph.
Thursday Night Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Low around 46. East northeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming west southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Friday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 57. West northwest wind around 6 mph becoming north northeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Low around 50. Light and variable wind becoming east southeast 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 64. East southeast wind 7 to 13 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday Night Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind 13 to 15 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. West wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 36. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming east after midnight.
Monday Sunny, with a high near 56. East southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming north in the afternoon.
Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 37. East southeast wind 5 to 7 mph.
Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 57. East wind 6 to 8 mph becoming south southeast in the morning.

 

The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect until 6 PM CST this evening for the following counties,  ALEXANDER … FRANKLIN … JACKSON … JEFFERSON … PERRY … UNION.

* TIMING…This afternoon.

* WINDS…South southwest winds will gust 40 to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS…Vehicular traffic, especially for high profile
vehicles, will be affected with rough driving conditions. Mobile
homes and outdoor construction work will be affected. Choppy
waves on area water bodies will make boating hazardous,
especially on Rend Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A wind advisory is issued when sustained winds are expected to
reach 30 mph or greater for longer than one hour…or wind gusts
are expected to reach 40 mph for any duration.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

.DAY ONE…Today and Tonight

There is a chance of thunderstorms tonight, with heavy rainfall
possible, mainly after midnight.

South winds may gust around 35 mph or slightly higher today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Wednesday through Monday

The rains late Tuesday through Wednesday night will likely set the
stage for the possibility of areal flooding mid to late week, as
rounds of widespread showers and a few thunderstorms are expected,
producing multiple periods of heavy rainfall across the region
Thursday night through Saturday night. The flooding concern will
increase with each round of heavy rainfall, culminating with the
cold frontal passage Saturday night. A few strong storms cannot be
ruled out Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…

Rainfall measurements from our spotters are requested, along with
any reports of observed flooding later in the week.

Hydrologic Outlook

The forecast weather pattern this week continues to support
multiple rain episodes, that will likely result in several inches of
rain. An initial round is expected from late tonight through
Wednesday night. Additional rains will come later in the week,
especially from Thursday night through Saturday night.

The main concern with this week`s rainfall will be the potential
for additional flooding of rivers and their tributaries. Flooding of
low land and poor drainage areas will become likely mid to late
week. We may see some flooding develop on roads that typically
experience water problems during longer duration heavy rain events,
again from mid to late week.

Stay tuned for later statements and updates.

Seven Day Outlook

This Afternoon
A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 73. Breezy, with a south wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog after 10pm. Low around 37. South wind 13 to 16 mph becoming north northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Wednesday
Showers. High near 39. North wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Wednesday Night
Showers. Low around 37. Northeast wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before noon. Cloudy, with a high near 51. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Thursday Night
Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight. Low around 48. East wind around 6 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers. High near 58. South southwest wind around 6 mph becoming north northeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Friday Night
Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 49. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 62. South southwest wind 8 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. South southwest wind 9 to 14 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. West northwest wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 36. West southwest wind around 6 mph becoming southeast after midnight.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 57. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon.