Marginal risk of severe weather for tomorrow

We’re continuing to monitor the potential for severe thunderstorms late Saturday afternoon and evening. The primary concerns include damaging winds and flooding rains, with a smaller risk for a few tornadoes. Do you have a way to receive warning alerts and a plan of action to seek shelter in case severe weather threatens this weekend? (NWS Paducah)

Hazardous Weather Outlook

A band of showers and a few thunderstorms will continue to produce moderate to heavy rainfall through at least midday as they stream over far southeast Missouri, much of west Kentucky and the southern tip of Illinois.

After a brief dry period this afternoon, more showers and thunderstorms will develop and lift northeast across the region tonight. Heavy rainfall and worsening flood problems can be expected. Please refer to the Flood Watch for details. Minor to moderate flooding continues or is imminent for the Ohio and Green Rivers, as well as parts of the Mississippi, Big Muddy, Patoka, and Wabash Rivers.

Please see the latest river flood warnings and statements for further details. .

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Saturday through Thursday Widespread showers and thunderstorms with moderate to heavy rainfall are expected Saturday and Saturday night.

The Flood Watch continues until 6 AM Sunday. Please refer to the watch for details. The potential for severe thunderstorms with widespread damaging winds and a tornado threat exists late Saturday afternoon through the evening hours. The storms will most likely be in a line on or near a cold front that will move eastward across the region.

Minor to moderate flooding continues or is imminent for the Ohio and Green Rivers, as well as part of the Mississippi, Big Muddy, Patoka, and Wabash Rivers. Please see the latest river flood warnings and statements for further details. .

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT… Spotter activation is becoming more likely Saturday afternoon and evening. In addition, reports of heavy rainfall and flooding would be very helpful today through Saturday night.

…FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT…

The Flood Watch continues for * All of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. * Through late Saturday night.

* Periods of showers and thunderstorms will produce another 2 to 4 inches of rainfall through Saturday night. Isolated higher amounts will be possible. With saturated soil, the result will be worsening areal flood problems and the potential for flash flooding, especially Saturday afternoon and evening.

* The main flooding concern initially will be along small streams and creeks that feed into already swollen rivers across the region. Elsewhere, elevated water levels in low lying and poor drainage areas may lead to standing water across some roads that typically flood. However, a line of strong to severe thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening may result in more significant flash flooding over much of the region.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

Seven Day Forecast

Today
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 55. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Tonight
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Low around 48. Calm wind becoming east northeast 5 to 8 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some storms could be severe, with damaging winds and heavy rain. High near 64. East northeast wind 7 to 10 mph becoming south in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Some storms could be severe, with damaging winds and heavy rain. Low around 41. South wind 11 to 15 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 55. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 35. Light and variable wind.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 58. Light and variable wind.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 38. South southeast wind 3 to 5 mph.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Light south southeast wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night
Showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. South wind around 8 mph.
Wednesday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. South wind 6 to 8 mph.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind 8 to 10 mph becoming west southwest after midnight.
Thursday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 56. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

 

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